Kaliningrad Chkalovsk
Naval aviation — Su-24M/MR, Su-30SM
T15 detections (7d)Baltic Fleet Naval AviationWestern Military District
~340 km to Riga
Activity Level
MODERATE
⏳ 10d ago — stale
🛰 2026-03-10
5
FIRMS total
5
Last 7 days
13
IMINT analyses
12
Aircraft spotted
LOW
Vehicles
CLEAR
Runway

🛰 Optical Analysis (Sentinel-2 · 10m)

Kaliningrad Chkalovsk airfield shows moderate activity with approximately 12 aircraft present on aprons and taxiways. Runways are clear, and no significant new construction or unusual activity is observed. The aircraft count is consistent with routine operations for the known unit.

CLEAR
Runway
12
Aircraft
LOW
Vehicles

Approximately 12 aircraft visible on aprons and taxiways. Appears to be a mix of fighter/bomber sized airframes, consistent with Su-24/Su-30SM types.

Scattered vehicles observed near hangars and support buildings.

Confidence: HIGH · Model: Gemini 2.5 Flash · Image: 2026-03-10

📊 Activity Trend (13 observations)

2025-09-252026-03-10
HighModerateLow

⚠ Threat Assessment

Strike aircraft within 15-min flight time of Estonian airspace. Su-24 carries Kh-31 anti-ship missiles.

🏗 Order of Battle

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Site Profile

Tier
T1 — Direct border threat (<200km)
Unit / Equipment
Naval aviation — Su-24M/MR, Su-30SM
Branch
Baltic Fleet Naval Aviation
Military District
Western Military District
Distance to Estonia
~290 km to Saaremaa
Center
54.7666°N, 20.3969°E

📋 History

Active since Soviet era. Modernized 2016 with Su-30SM multi-role fighters. Hosted nuclear-capable aircraft exercises.

🔍 OSINT Indicators

Satellite imagery frequently shows 12-16 fighter aircraft on apron. Flight activity correlates with Baltic Fleet exercises.

📡 Nearby Activity (48h)

TimeTypeDetail
2026-03-20 14:32?MMSI 2.732421e+08, 0.0kt, 67km away
2026-03-20 14:32?MMSI 2.7341887e+08, 0.0kt, 67km away
Satellite view
🛰 ESRI World Imagery · 0.3m54.7666°N, 20.3969°E

🛰 Recent Passes

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🔥 Thermal Detection Timeline

2026-03-19 13:32FIRMS 5.6MWNominal confidence ·
2026-03-19 13:32FIRMS 1.84MWNominal confidence ·
2026-03-14 13:25FIRMS 2.72MWNominal confidence · VIIRS (Suomi NPP)
2026-03-14 12:06FIRMS 1.68MWNominal confidence · VIIRS (NOAA-20)
2026-03-14 12:06FIRMS 2.11MWNominal confidence · VIIRS (NOAA-20)